Sunday, August 28, 2005

Never too early

There are still many questions to be answered by the Bulls in the coming months, from the possible signing of Darius Songaila to the re-signings of Curry and Chandler.

But next offseason will be the big one. If the team shows improvement this season (whether or not it means as many wins) the 2006 offseason could be where Paxson looks for the final piece to make the Bulls contenders in the East. With the contracts of Antonio Davis and Eddie Robinson (yes, he's still getting paid) coming off the books that summer the Bulls will be far enough under the cap to get one top-flight free agent or perhaps a couple mid-level guys, naturally depending on how much of it is going to Curry and Chandler by then.

A new blog called The NBA Source has done the dirty work ranking all the free agents for 2006. Sure it can be seen as looking 'too far ahead', but this cap room is what Paxson has been waiting for, so take a look at his possible targets.

And as far as this offseason is concerned, another new blog, 120 Proof Ball, has been giving the league their summer grades.

Tuesday, August 23, 2005

Frontcourt press

Rumors have been swirling around the Bulls and their search for another frontcourt player to go along with the recently resigned Othella Harrington, Antonio Davis, and the assumed-to-be-back Curry and Chandler. Earlier today ESPN.com's Ric Bucher revealed in his latest chat that the Bulls are likely to land Sacramento Kings Forward (and restricted FA) Darius Songaila. (And while writing this I hear rumblings that the Bulls have signed Malik Allen)

Here are some numbers for the 26 year old Songaila, who played in 81 games and averaged just over 20 mpg for the Kings last season:

p/40 r/40 eFG% FT% PSA REB-r USG-r PER
Songaila 14.6 9.2 0.527 0.847 1.13 11.5 15.1 14.9
Compara-Bull Nocioni (14.3) Harrington(9.2) Curry(.538) Gordon(.863) Chandler(1.13) Nocioni(11.4) Piatkowski(15.7) Gordon(14.9)
Highest Bull Gordon (24.7) Chandler(14.2) Piatkowski(.573) Gordon(.863) Curry(1.17) Chandler(16.4) Gordon(27.8) Chandler(16.4)

Songaila is a very capable offensive player, with a definite knack for efficient scoring (and look at that FT%, mmmmm) and an adequate rebounder. One deficiency that stands out is that his usage rate is like that of a statue (or basketball terms Eric Piatkowski).

That low usage rate and efficient output could be a result of the Kings offense. In a more...deliberate (to use a nice term) offense like the Bulls, Songaila may have to create more and will receive fewer open shots.

It's hard to determine how much his offensive numbers are inflated because of the system he played in, but it is important to also know that the Kings benefited from having Songaila on the court, scoring +3.8 points per 100 possessions better (nearly all of their statistically best lineups included Songaila). His defense was nothing spectacular, but adequate with a 16.3 oPER at the PF spot (to compare, AD allowed a 14.6 oPER at that position while Chandler allowed a 16.7 oPER). While his offense may have been helped by the Kings' style, it's also possible that, in a defense-first atmosphere like Chicago, Songaila can improve in that aspect of his game.

I haven't watched him play much in his 2-year career, but if you combine the numbers with the fact that he was a rotation player on a western conference playoff team, if Paxson can get him with their remaining MLE it could be a bargain.

UPDATE: The Bulls have signed Allen, and maintain interest in Songaila. Terms are undisclosed, but it's possible Allen has signed for the bi-annual exception, leaving the non-Duhon portion of the MLE (a little over $2m) for Songaila. I'm sure hoping they sign him now that I spent this time researching :-)

Monday, August 22, 2005

Comin at you like a bullet(point)

Some Bulls things:

  • via TrueHoop, here's nice puffy article on Luol Deng. We already know about his newfound ambidextrous-ity, but there's also stuff about his work promoting basketball in Britain.
     
  • Found this at Hoopshype monday morning (actual source link doesn't work), a blurb mentioning a familiar face:

    the Jerusalem roster is a step closer to completion. Coach Erez Edelstein will likely attempt to bring in two forwards in the next two weeks. The latest rumors have former Miami Heat draft pick Jerome Beasley and Mississippi State star Mario Austin as front-runners."

    Austin, as you probably remember, was a Bulls 2nd round draft pick in 2003, and has had a pretty crazy basketball life since then, highlighted by a nightmarish situation in Russia.  He did average 7.6pts and 3.2rebs in just under 20mpg with this year's summer league team, but his performance was overshadowed by Eddie Badsen (who has since been signed) and Drago Pasalic. I'm not sure if Austin will get a camp invite, but even if he does the roster will be crowded and he most likely will spend another season as a basketball nomad.
     

  • Speaking of Hoopshype, they have recently added a listing of NBA blogs which is very comprehensive, and pretty cool of them I think.
     
  • 82games.com is hiring gamecharters for the coming season. So if you got a league pass and a TiVo and feel your inner stats-geek trying to burst to the forefront of your consciousness....hey, they'll even pay ya a bit.

    Needless to say 82games.com is a fantastic statistical resource, but beyond that they also provide some great columns, like this one from Supersonics.com writer Kevin Pelton. And I'm not mentioning it just because he mentioned Bulls Blog. Twice.  

Saturday, August 20, 2005

Another Bull back in the fold

The Daily Herald is reporting that the Bulls have reached a one-year deal with Othella Harrington worth $3.2 million, which should become official next week. (Seems like the Herald has really been ahead of the Trib and Sun-Times in Bulls news this summer.)

By all accounts John Paxson's visits with Tyson Chandler and Eddy Curry's agents went well, but no agreement was made with either player. It seems Chandler's camp wants a contract at least equal to the one the Sixers gave Samuel Dalembert - six years, $58 million - and the Bulls aren't quick to make such an offer without including incentives. Curry has yet to find an insurance carrier to cover his contract in case heart issues prevent him from playing.

Both Chandler and Curry could accept the Bulls one-year tender, which would make them un-restricted free agents next summer, but with each player having a history of health problems, it would be in their best interest to reach a long-term agreement with the Bulls this summer.

The Bulls still hope to re-sign Adrian Griffin and Jannero Pargo, but Paxson has said that he wants to focus on shoring up the frontcourt before addressing their contracts. Pargo, a restricted free agent, met with the Cavs last week but seems more of a last resort option should the Cavs main target, Damon Jones, re-sign with the Heat. The Raptors and the Lakers, two of Pargo's former teams, may also show interest.

Tuesday, August 16, 2005

Carnival of the NBA #14

Is up at the acclaimed TrueHoop.

Go for your semi-regular dose of the NBA blogosphere....